Writing my Destiny...

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Sunday, May 13, 2012

Female foeticide - a commentary on Satyamev Jayate Episode 1





After watching the first episode, and quite appreciating the effort I felt that though the show was well presented, researched and thought of, something very important was amiss. I was discussing the same with some friends that night and found out some interesting answers about certain aspects of female foeticide untouched by the show.

Amongst the various things we found when we discussed the causes of female foeticide, the most important was the answer to the question of how could someone become so depraved to actually carry out such an act as murdering a little innocent child. This was one thing missing starkly from the show, a reflection on where this evil came from, what are the beliefs these people are acting under the influence of, and why is it still going on. And most importantly are we ready yet to remove this social illness?

We need to understand Indian history and culture better to find the root of the problem. As was pointed out by the show also, the problem began in Northern India coupled with Rajasthan region, and then gradually spread out to other parts as well.

What was the basis of the thought in the minds of these people, that made them convinced that killing female children was even a fathomable option? Probably the answer lies in the geographical location of North-North West India. Due to its location the region was continuously under attacks from armies from Persia, Mongolia, Afghanistan, Central Europe, Middle East pretty much anyone who could make an army and was within a year or so of marching distance from India just came here to loot. These ongoing wars with first Muslims and then British kingdoms with local Rajput, Jaat, Sikh, Punjabi, Gurjar clans etc made these clans very aggressive, combat oriented, proud and patriotic. Obviously men of the society had to take charge and deal with the enemy with all might, putting them in positions of power and control. The status of women during these times must have started dipping, as we will see later in the post.

The first requirement to fuel any war is able bodied 'men'. Well that at least was the case until 50 years ago. Now if your clan's survival is continuously at stake, due to ongoing wars, you would for the good of the society wish that you would have more able men 'sons', who can fight with you. Your entire society would want the same. Nothing wrong with that desire, totally justified so far since survival has throughout history been the single most strong motivation of all species ever to have lived, and to ensure survival, species are not afraid to take extreme decisions if the need be. So basically in this age, survival of the society was dependent on having larger armies, which was dependent on the number of men a society had, hence the general social acceptance of the fact that sons are more desirable started for the first time for this reason.

Our cinema also often depicts that notion with dialogues like 'If I had another son I would sacrifice him too for the nation' or something like that. So we get an idea, why sons were desirable for survival of the society.
But this didn't mean women were undesirable, does it? After all, whom would the sons wed and who would give birth to more sons? Now here there is a catch, if a society has more men than women, and a war is going on, you know eventually some men would die and the balance would be restored, but the other way around is not true. Women have usually longer lifespans, and safer lives, in absence of a family to be a part of and tend to, a woman's productivity to the society in the middle ages as a single person was limited. There were very few things she could do.

If this number of single, or widowed women increased too much, this might have created a situation of crisis for the clan as food and other resources were limited, and women were not the principle labors in the fields and hence were not seen as contributing a lot to the food problem. (Of course they were doing their bit, but their bit was useful only in conjunction with a male partner, alone their bit of raising a family, creating a future etc didn't have any significance to the society, as there was no family without a husband). So some genius (pun intended) figured out that if we create a male female ratio with a higher number of males than females, we won't have a lot of widows, we won't have to feed a lot of extra women, and we can better use those resources to grow up a soldier and send him to war, the extra men would die in wars and maintain a balance in society. Now well since we all know selective gender breeding isn't an option in humans, the only option left was what is today known as female foeticide.

There was another reason to be vary of being parenting a girl than a male. The reason was the need to constantly protect the girl from invaders and looters. At the time, it was normal for winning hoards of armies to rape and enslave women and girls from the lands they conquered. It was considered reward or payout for their efforts.

On part of the family who lost its girl, it must have been devastating to have her raped and traumatized for life, as today it must have been a loss of family honor then also, or for her to be taken away or killed after having taken care of her and nurturing her for so long. It must have been really frustrating and painful for any parents. And it wouldn't have taken long for people to realize that perhaps if they had a son instead of being raped he could have fought them back, and died respectably.

Still, another reason and probably the most dangerous one was women themselves getting convinced that being a woman was a bad thing. Now this is the biggest challenge even today. Women, because of their physical vulnerability, their helplessness in times of wars etc, were made convinced by others and by circumstances that they were unwanted and unhelpful. They couldn't fight in the battlefield and they couldn't grow food or hunt. And this meant they became subdued due to their dependence on men for protection and food. This led to terrible things. This submission of women to men meant they lost their self esteem, pride, their feeling of self respect and worth. This resulted in them being used by some men as their properties for their lifetimes. This made them a sort of virtual slaves to the men, who in a lot of cases misused the power. And even today it comes out as domestic violence, male dominance etc. even when the situation has changed a lot.

Now imagine a society where the self image of women is very low. She is devoid of any respect for herself, and all the women she sees around her are going through similar traumas. Would such a woman want to bring another girl to life? To go through all the sufferings? There are good chances that if she won't kill her girl child herself, she wouldn't mind a lot if someone else offered to do the job. And in all fairness, with my 21st century ideals and beliefs I can still see the despair of that mother, who for the best interest of her child chooses to let her die, just so that the child won't have to go through what she herself did.

So, no doubt female foeticide has been in North Indian culture for centuries now, up until around 60 years back, it most probably was never felt in such a severe amount because:
1. Lots of men died untimely early deaths, leaving the ratio more or less equal, that has changed now with no more wars, dangerous jobs or diseases.
2. Families used to be really large, 5-10 children were normal to any couple, so having 2-3 girls in a 6 children pack wasn't considered too bad, the male children used to be the ones looked upon but the females were accepted too as part of the deal. Now families are 2 or 3 children max, so having a boy in them is lesser chances than it was in 6 children, hence the female foeticides, so that people don't end up having 5 children to have one boy.
3. There were no ultrasound machines back then. So the only was out was the cruel one to actually kill a newborn, which was done by ways like putting a tobacco in the mouth of the baby or techniques like that and were usually executed by mid-wives or elder women of the family. Still actually killing a child was a difficult thing and probably stopped a lot of people from doing it, despite them having preferred male children.
4. There was nothing like a national census to actually count people, so if there was a large difference it wasn't felt, as sooner or later men died in wars and became equal.

The reasons as discussed above changed in last few years, they became:
1. Avoidance of dowry, if you don't have a girl
2. The family legacy thing, for which you need to have at least one male child.
3. The physical insecurity associated with young girls, which continued to be a reason even to this date.

Together these three reasons comprise of the premise which leads to any ordinary man/woman to turn in to a girl child killer. The biggest reason is one of these three has happened in a lot of families or in direct relatives, so people understand the pain of having to give all your life's savings to get your daughter married in a decent family, or the pain of having your daughter kidnapped or raped, so in most cases having daughters is a cause of severe mental distress as it starts a chain of responsibilities and difficulties in an already difficult life of a middle/lower class Indian family, and sometimes people just can't take that extra responsibility and end up doing things that they do.

A closer look at the three reasons tell us that the first two, are sort of obvious direct reasons, dowry has been worked upon a lot in last few years from a lot of Government and social initiatives, and we can feel there has been some relief in the number of such cases that now come up. Hopefully the numbers will continue to reduce.

The family legacy thing, is now not such a big female foeticide reason, unless lets say the first 3 or 4 children are all females, which is a little rare. And even in such a case if female foeticide happens, at least 2-3 girls are already  born, which is no less than a bright side, in what's otherwise a grim situation.

The third reason is the one which has surprisingly held on beyond the middle ages, and is the biggest challenge we face today. 65 years have passed since India got independence and we haven't been able to make our country a safe place for women. Until we do that how can mothers feel safe giving birth to girls. And fathers would always live in the fear and paranoia of something bad happening to their daughters. In a society where paedophiles, kidnappings, gangrapes, acid throwing incidents, eve teasing going to new lows are on a rise, we can't judge people who are afraid to bring a girl to this world. As shown in the second episode of the show 53% of all children in India have been subjected to some form of sexual abuse during their childhood. Obviously our society is not a safe one, for our children or women.

I know from some of my female friends, how barbaric men in public transports or public places can be with women. They spare no chance of touching or grabbing whatever they can lay hands on and using whatever excuse they can figure out. It doesn't help that our public transports are so full of people, personal space is actually not possible, and the women are just helpless in such situations as they can't really do anything about it, they can either stand and suffer it in silence or avoid traveling or going out of homes at all. But then homes aren't too safe either, with so many cases of domestic violence and sexual abuse by relatives etc filling up newspapers for decades now.

This brings us to another much tabooed and still very prevalent issue of incestuous relations or neighbors or other close family males taking advantage of young girls. The problem is that girls are so uninformed and so subdued that in most cases they never tell anyone for fear that they themselves would be reprimanded and probably grounded, which is also a true fear in most cases. The use of mobile phones and cameras in recent years, that have led to so many well known MMS and blackmailing cases, is only the tip of the iceberg. For every case that is publicized there are a 100 that are not and women continue being exploited, due to this silence our society has put on itself.

The reason for such indecent behavior by men is unfortunately driven by something which is a result of the that behavior by men, so it's a vicious cycle. Now India doesn't have the Muslim armies raping and looting all they find on their victorious paths. But the feeling of insecurity on part of parents, didn't go away when it should have had, that is right after Britishers left. India should have felt more comfortable and should have let their girls a little more free, their guards a little low. This didn't happen or happened and had bad consequences in some rare cases and so the people continued to treat their girls the way they were doing in the 16th century.

As a result impositions such as don't talk to boys, don't look at them in the eyes, don't encourage them. Don't wear provocative clothes, don't do or say provocative things, don't go out alone anywhere, come back home before dark, don't talk to strangers, don't study in co-ed schools, don't sit near boys in your class, don't make friends with them, don't fall in love with anyone, boys are bad, they will use you in some way etc etc, the long list goes on were drilled down our girls as soon as they learnt to talk. What happened as a result?

Boys and girls didn't know anything about each other, at all. Boys, who became adolescent and had never once talked to a girl as a friend came in to existence (I personally and I went to a good co-ed school and came from a good family background had no female friends till I was 18, and that too was an internet friend, the first real female friend was all the way when I was 21 years old, in final year of university)

Leave alone knowing or understanding that girls also were normal humans, their only source of information became other boys of their age who had heard something about some girl from somewhere and these extreme cases became the basis for all boys to look at all girls. Things like, if a girl wears tight clothes she is inviting men, if she looks at you in the eyes she is interested in you, if she wears revealing clothes, she doesn't mind being touched or you are free to take advantage of her because she is obviously open minded. The distorted notions of sex and women in the minds of these men who grew up never actually having talked to a girl apart from their sisters perhaps, are the real cause for the way they look at women and eventually treat them.

It is imperative to consider the presence of a sister in the family in this scenario. Because, some people would think that if a boy has had a sister in the family, he must learn about girls, and would learn to respect and understand them. This is not always the case, in fact the presence of a sister can often become an example for the boy to learn from, as to how to treat women. And this example much more often than not is a bad one. As discussed above, most of the restrictions in the family apply only to girls, they are supposed to dress appropriately, act appropriately etc etc. Also discrimination exists in other forms too, girls are not sent to as good schools as boys (as the boy should receive the better education, if money is in shortage), girls are not given sufficient nutrition as compared to their brothers and most importantly, girls are not given enough support by the family to be herself, to have an identity, to pursue her goals. What does a boy learn from all this, when it is a daily affair? And this is coupled with violence ill treatment against his mother and other females in the family, making the situation worst. So the existence of sisters or mothers in their life, only makes the situation worse for most guys, as they become used to women being treated as secondary citizens.

These notions come in to picture because no parent would let their daughters to talk to any boys, which they rightly do because these boys have such distorted notions about girls. A perfect vicious cycle.


And the solution can't simply be that parents should allow their daughters to be a little more open to boys, because the age that this happens is a very vulnerable age and we could see a huge surge in early age pregnancies and lot more cases of affairs at the ages of 13-16 or even less if such an unthoughtful action in suddenly implemented. That would be generating a new social problem while trying to eradicate an old one. Although perhaps that problem (if the pregnancies could be avoided through proper sex education of minors, and guidance by teachers, parents and social groups) would be a lesser one than that of female foeticide and sexual abuse and harassment against women.

Just imagine, if all those eve-teasers had a girl friend, or had ever known a girl close enough to understand that they too are humans, and there is a more dignified way of approaching and getting their attention than attacking them in groups or groping at them in metro or buses, then probably they would not do something so indecent. We need to remove the taboo girls are for a young Indian male, we need to end the male female cold war that goes on in most Indian classrooms and neighborhoods even today and even in so called modern top end schools.

My 8 year old cousin is afraid to talk to girls of his class, simply because whenever he has had the chance to do that, it so happened, the girls were offended one way or the other, complained to the teacher with some tears in their eyes, and every time my cousin got punished irrespective of what the issue was or whose fault was it.  It's like trying to compensate for the unfairness that our society is to women by being unfair to men. Now why doesn't anyone intervene in a correct manner here? Don't the teachers notice that no boys of the class talk to any girls of the class? Don't the parents notice, that the child has no female friends? This attitude will only cause more problems than solve any.

More than anything else, it's important that people think about the reasons why these things happen, and understand that it is every little thing we tell to our little son/daughter or nephew/niece that forms the basis for how he/she would treat women/men. As pointed out by a reader, this could be the most practical starting point of eradicating the problem. Effort needs to be put on the children of today, special emphasis needs to be paid in schools and homes, to send the message, that girls and boys are equal in every aspect. And to back up the talk, it must be implemented by treating the girls of the family the same as the boys. Domestic violence, needs to stop and no laws can do it, because unless the wife complains to the Police there is no case. And since the woman is so used to violence to her, since she has been brought up watching all the women in her life treated like that, and since she has no financial independence she can't really do anything, although the fact is she never even feels she is oppressed, that treatment is just normal for her.

The problem is looking at this at their homes makes it normal even for the children as they grow up and then they do the same. Efforts about spreading awareness that women have rights too, working towards financial independence of women, making them aware of their rights, making them aware that being beaten up is not acceptable are going to go a long way. As long as no one stands up against the status quo, it's just going to seem normal to let things be as they are. Women support groups, education for women, opening up to ideas of independence and individuality etc will show the way ahead and will slowly create a good cycle.

That would make all the difference eventually. TAKE THE TABOO OFF WOMEN. Let them be just normal, don't make them feel inferior, treat them as equals. About 46% of us all are women that's not such a bad number, let's not make them farther away from our reach, let's make an environment where females feel safe in talking to us, let them trust men, and let our actions say this. India more than anything else today needs a revival of its women.

This is the responsibility of decent Indian men and women now to make our country a better place for women.

Once again a brave effort by Satyamev Jayate to highlight a very important issue, hopefully they will from future episodes give due consideration to explaining the actual cause of issues rather than just getting sympathy from the plight of victims.

Satyamev Jayate...

Thursday, September 23, 2010

India: Tackling recent surge in inflation... Circa Sep 2010

This is just a continuation of my previous post in Dec 2009 Click Here

As feared in my previous post, the Indian Gov. has tried to hide its impotency against the rising food prices (and inflation in general) behind the innocuous step of monetary policy tightening. RBI has yet again raised the interest rate despite continued failure in taming inflation. But what can the Gov. do other then putting pressure on RBI to play with the monetary policy? Gov. has not done enough to meet the supply side challenges. In fact the food grains are rotting in the depots. The level of wastage is evident from the Supreme court's order to distribute food grain for free if Gov. can't store food grain (Click). This Gov. is trying to solve the supply side challenges through demand side tools. 

Below is an excerpt from my previous post which throws more light on the subject.
"... 
If you can’t prop up supply then reduce demand, sounds just right. However, I call it a pseudo solution as tightening monetary policy might not be an intelligent and effective way to tackle rising food prices.
First reason is the tools used for tightening monetary policy like interest rate, CRR, etc would take a very long time to actually affect drop in demand for food items. The trickle down effect is very slow as food lies far down the chain from where monetary policy starts taking effect.
Secondary reason is that the demand for food is still affected much more by consumption rather than investment. This coupled with the wide rich poor divide means that the major chunk of liquidity lies within the reach of rich few, who would not start eating more just because the cost of capital has gone down. Increased liquidity would have increased overall demand for food if the money would have reached the pockets of wider section of society, especially the ones who are consuming far less than a healthy diet. This is why a tightening of monetary policy may not bring in desired results, although it just might give a picture that the Government is at least doing “something”. Although this “something” will surely prove to be a serious blow to the much needed recovery process after the recent credit crunch.
Thus my request would be not to disturb the monetary policy...."
I believe that the Gov. has run out of all ideas as it shamelessly pursues the course of tightening monetary policy at the expense of our economy in order to fake a war against inflation...

Please read my earlier post below on the subject. (Click)

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Missed posts...

I have missed to update couple of my blog posts here. But you can still read it by clicking the links below.
Couple of posts on Indian Infrastructure Sector

India: Tackling recent surge in inflationInfrastructure bonds finally

And this one about the inflation we saw in India in the last quarter of 2009. Remember this is an old post dated Dec 2009.

India: Tackling recent surge in inflation


Look forward to your comments.

UK Budget Deficit

I recently wrote an answer/comment on the burgeoning UK budget deficit and what can be done about it. You can have a look at Ning or Guradian .

Or click the read more button below to read the post here and also to see the pdf of the image shown above.


Tuesday, January 5, 2010

The Perfect Defence

This thought is an outcome of many doomsday movies that have accumulated in my head. If such a day is bound to come sometime, what sort of a defense should we build to see some specimen of human race through. Of course we have seen bunkers, walls, steel cabins etc. but we have also seen all of them getting breached. Now the problem at hand would get out of control if we don’t define the scope so.
Type of dangers /attacks possible…
1. Lets start with tough ones, Nuclear attack, hence extreme heat and pressure followed by radiation
2. Comets striking earth
3. Air in atmosphere getting toxic for humans to survive
4. Food in atmosphere gets toxic
5. Sun runs out of heat and light
6. Earth goes under water, completely.
7. Earthquakes, not simple 7 on richter scale ones but full fledged tectonic plates running over each other
8. SuperVolcanoes
9. Super tornadoes
10. Air borne and incurable lethal virus
11. Zombie Godzillas… :D
12. Extreme sustained heat, which will evaporate all water on earth (no seas or rivers, though u can condense steam to get water to drink)
13. And probably the toughest of the 16 to beat, the possibility of one of the guys in the chamber going nuts of being in the chamber for 20 years and killing everyone else including himself...
14. One dumb mistake from one of the 10 people on board... Like leaving the toilet flush open and running out of all water to drink... with Zombie Godzillas outside... :D
15. Ohhh damn and how can I forget intelligent aliens, hell bound to destroy those 10 humans in the box.
16. Hot male / female look alike but actually spies sent by me to fail the mission... Their weapon is just their looks and promise of a really amazing sexual adventure, like no one in the box has ever dreamt of... lol... well it sounds cheesy but the central idea here is how will you fight against greed and lust...


Well to make life easier, you can assume not all of them happen together. But the solution should be able to sustain human life in each of the above scenarios individually. I am in a pessimistic mood, so will let everyone die before trying… :D

But I am sure you won’t let me succeed so let the game begin… You can only use, presently possible technology and materials and can assume, that you just need to sustain 10 humans for 20 years for the danger to pass away. I have thought of a possible solution. But will post it later. Enjoy till then…

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Mobile Marketing: Potential or Pain?


Mobile advertising has off late gathered lot of intellectual discussion. Some see it as a great potential and others treat it as a pain in the a***. Mobile advertising today, as I know, mainly comes in the form of SMS (Text Message/Multimedia Message). I am keeping the advts. which a user sees while browsing internet through his mobile phone separate from this.  A quick look at Wikipedia suggests that worldwide, over 90% of mobile marketing is done through SMS.

I personally feel that mobile advertising has one of the biggest nuisance value as compared to other conventional mode of advertising. I would request readers to pour in their views and correct my opinion.

Well, in case of TV advt. I switch on my TV to watch my favourite show and attached with it comes few advt. which I see during the breaks. Thus, I don't switch on my TV to watch Advertisements! 
I pick up my favourite news paper to read the latest news/articles/opinions and while browsing through the pages I get to see some advertisements. Again, I didn't pick the newspapers to check the advertisements!
Let's take the case of web advertising as well, and there also I go to my favourite website to browse it and I see few ads while browsing through my favourite website. Thus, the ads come with my favourite website which has some helpful content for me. I didn't go on internet to see ads.
You can apply a similar logic for hoardings, banners, etc which you see on your way. You usually don't go somewhere to check the hoardings or banners.

Based on the above cases, I can say that advertisements seem to be accepted when they come along with something which is useful to us or asked by us. We usually "make an effort" to see/do things which we like to do or are important for us. Advertisement comes along with them in the process. Thus we don't "make an effort" particularly to see an advt.

This basic principle is not respected my mobile advertising. The very idea that advt. is being sent through SMS/text message, implies that it needs to be read/seen asap. This is what you do when you get any sms.  That is why you get a ping/alert whenever the message arrives. SMS with advt. comes as an interrupt. But usually an unwanted interrupt. Then the user "makes an effort" to pull out his mobile phone from his pocket/bag and pushes few buttons and goes on to read the advertisement! So all the effort purely to read an ad! not good... What comes along with something you wanted is still ok. But ads in this form irritates the user.

There is another advertising medium which suffers from similar problem. Ads in an e-mail. Why doesn't it work? Well, it again breaks the fundamental rule where the user makes an effort to open a mail and read it without getting what he actually created his e-mail account for. This still has a lesser effect as he at least signed into his e-mail account to check his own mails, thereby some of his effort went into something which he more legitimately wanted. Still advertising of this form has now taken a derogatory name called "SPAM". Have you ever thought why an ad in news paper or during the commercial break in TV shows are not called SPAM or any such similar word?
If the fate of e-mail ads is such then think of the effect that mobile advertising is likely to create in the user's mind. It's awful.

So I would say that if you are looking to advertise and especially through a mass media then try to embed/bundle your ads with something more legitimately asked for by the user. The challenge is to embed the ad so seamlessly that the ad should be able to attract the attention of the user if he is interested in it but if he is not, the ad should not spoil the user experience of using the medium.
Mobile media surely needs to be tapped. Today, mobile phones outnumber TV sets by over 2 to 1, internet users by nearly 3 to 1, and the total laptop and desktop PC population by over 4 to 1(Source: Wiki). Also, the mobile media, unlike TV, Newspaper or Radio, is a two way media. It remains to be seen when marketers would be able to effectively start tapping the vast potential of mobile marketing.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

elle...girls...femme...she...ragazza...

“chal yaar indrapuri ke hostels se aankhe sek kar aate hain… «

Well anyone from Indore will realize what I am talking about. I donn know why but this is the story of almost everyone who has lived a bachelor’s life. What do we get from just staring at girls...well all of you know. :P

So when we stare at a girl, what are her reactions? This was the topic my team was discussing at lunch table today. My 50 year old boss was sharing that when he went to Brazil and one day while he was just walking around, he started staring at a girl. That girl instead of being shy, started feeling good and replied with a smile. Then this guy, my boss, stared in a more confident manner and she started directly looking into his eyes.

Next to him on the lunch table was another guy from Brazil and he told “ya..this is true...in Brazil...girls do a lot to get their body in good shape...and if you are staring at her...it shows that her efforts are paying off”.

Now what’s the reaction of a girl when you stare at her in France or to be specific in Paris. Well a Parisian girl will give such an uncomely reaction that you will stop staring at any girl from next time. Although I haven’t. Well according to the reasoning given by my Brazilian friend, a Parisian girl should also feel good if someone stares at her. They also do a lot to keep themselves in good shape. At least this is what I can say after staring at them for 3 months in Paris.

Now let’s come to my own country India. In India, when you are staring at a girl, even though that girl would be feeling delighted inside her heart, she simply won’t look at you. With her eyes down, she will just cross by. Well there are lot of thoughts going in her mind at that instant which I will come up with sometime later.

Why? Why do we stare so much all the time? Well reason is simple...if you are a MAN...you will do it. Some days back I also got a forwarded mail saying doctors have scientifically proved that staring at girls keeps you healthy. Why not?

Well nowadays while staring I keep guessing age of a girl most of the time. In India it’s actually very easy to guess age of a girl. But if her bosoms are still in the so to say developing stage, she must be somewhere in 16-19. If are they in good shape, she must be somewhere around 20-21+. If her face looks mature as well, she must be more than 22-23. If she has gained weight, she must be married and more than 24-25. But nowadays things are changing for better. Lot of cosmetics companies are investing heavily and things are gonna be different after 5 years.

But here in France, it’s very difficult to guess the age. Let me tell you, cosmetics industry is truly advanced here in Europe. You just can’t guess age of a girl just by looking at her. Just look at a woman from back, her body looks like that of a 21 year old girl. Then later you will realize that she is a woman somewhere around 40.

After lot of perseverance and constant practice, I have come to the conclusion that it’s the hands of a girl which can reveal her true age. The more mature and wrinkled the hands are, the older she is. Trust me. Yesterday I was looking at a girl and from her face she was looking like Emma Watson of Harry Potter’s latest release, a typical teenage face. From her body, she was looking bit older around 23-24. But when I went close to her and had a look at her hands, I realized she must be more than 26-27 at least. Well, lot of opportunity for manicure industry, huh.

So next time when you go out, just observe the hands of a girl and you will come back and click on “Must Read” in “Reactions” at the bottom of this blog.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Role of Fiscal and Monetary policy: American context (Part 2)


Welcome to part 2. (Click here to read the first part) I will begin this part with the modern panacea for recession. Loosen monetary policy, let your currency depreciate boost your export and plough back out of recession.
This looks efficient as well as effective in most cases. Although the sanity of increasing liquidity in the market was not suggested to the Asian tigers or the Argentinean government during the crisis, still it is now a well established fact to do so in order to fight recession. However, it might not give its usual results when we look at America.
The USA is a net importer with huge trade deficit and USD is the global trade currency. Many other countries are dependent hugely on trade with the USA and also dependent on the value of USD. This has propelled most of the developing countries to maintain the value of their domestic currency against dollar to keep them competitive in the export market and also to prevent losing the value of their forex reserves. These nations which include the likes of China, Russia and India, have chosen domestic inflation over stronger local currency (Click here to better understand this phenomenon). Another factor which plays a role in keeping the dollar strong against other currency is that US lies in the centre of today’s mono polar world. Thus no major economy across the world stays untouched from US recessions. You can see on the graph how Euro area follows US GDP growth rate.






What this means for the US economy is that when monetary policy is loosen in times of recession, USD doesn’t lose as much value as expected and thus http://pic.pbsrc.com/spacer.gifUS gains no particular advantage in the export market. Thus US gets no better at successfully targeting the foreign demand and it rather needs to prop up domestic demand to recover from recession. In the first partwe talked about the interaction of domestic demand and expansionary monetary policy where there is an emergence of a catch 22 situation. (Are we seeing a similar phenomenon now? When there is liquidity in market and the proof is asset prices are increasing, stock market all over the world is on their way up, Gold is at its all time high; though the queue outside employment offices in US isn’t decreasing at the same rate, which emphasises that money available is being invested in assets rather than production.)
The democrats in US are currently using a mix of fiscal and monetary policy to provide stimulus to the economy. But the majority money till now has gone into saving the collapsing financial system which in turn used the money to write off bad debts. The road from here on would need a script for creating more jobs and stimulating demand. Let’s see what US does now, keeping in mind that USD hasn’t lost much against other major currencies. Will the expansionary monetary policy be used again or the fiscal policy will get its due? With interest rate already near 0% there is not much scope left here!


Thanks for your patience :) Feel free to compliment/criticize.
Bhasker Siddharth

Role of Fiscal and Monetary policy: American context (Part 1)


Hi friends,
I started off with the aim of exploring recessionary economics. I wanted to find out the different ways in which a recession is triggered and steps which can lead a nation out of it. But as I spent more time on it, the length and complexity of the scenarios to be considered kept increasing. I wanted to present a simple model which can explain different kinds of recession and give a clear picture of the phenomena which everybody can understand. But as I said earlier it’s now taking too much time. Let’s see when I complete it, if I complete it at all.
Right now I will give a quick over view of the role of fiscal and monetary policy and understand them in today’s context. I will also try to explore how they work in the American economic system.
We typically have two kinds of tools to bring changes in the economic condition of a country: fiscal policy and monetary policy. We use an expansionary fiscal/monetary policy to plough out of recession. Here is how they work and the basic difference between them.
Fiscal policy focuses on controlling the government spending in order to accelerate or retard economic growth. During recession, an expansionary fiscal policy is used which aims at increasing government spending to directly increase investment, employment and thus domestic demand. Expansionary fiscal policy is either financed through borrowing or tax increase.
Monetary policy aims at controlling the liquidity in the market to spur up or slow down the economy. It is implemented primarily through interest rate control (though there are other ways as well). Usually the central bank is responsible for fixing the interest rate. During recession, an expansionary monetary policy is implemented (easy money) which aims to bring down interest rate or make money cheaper. It is then expected that with cheaper money, the private sector will increase production, which will increase employment and then demand.
The effectiveness of the above tools depends a lot upon the source which triggered the recession, severity of the recession, objectives which the government/central bank is looking to achieve (like exchange rate stability, price stability, et al), financing options, how soon the results are desired, etc. Both got a validation and initial acceptance after the great depression. However, while recovery from the depression of 1933 saw the use of fiscal stimulus, the world today is seeing more of monetary policy being used to fight slumps in economy. There are various reasons for this
1.   1. Monetary policy is governed by independent central banks which don’t have to go through slow democratic process of fiscal policy and are thus implemented much more quickly.
2.   2. Shift in economic structure towards free market economy where government keeps off from influencing the market (laissez faire).
3.   3. Continued success of monetary policy to come out of previous slumps. In the last two slumps, US primarily used expansionary monetary policy to successfully come out of the slowdown triggered by IT bust and 9/11 attack in 2000-2001.


However, there is a catch with expansionary monetary policy. There is cheap money in the market which can be used by the producers but the consumption level is still low and unemployment is high. Cheap money alone is not sufficient for producers to increase supply. Producers don’t start increasing production without seeing a growth in demand.
Demand can come from two places, either domestic or foreign. Producers wouldn’t increase supply for the domestic market until there is a demand and consumers wouldn’t start spending unless they are employed back. This creates a tussle where private firms tread slowly resulting in slow progress. However, lower interest rate brings down the domestic currency and makes you more competitive in export market, thus giving the producers enough incentive to increase production to cater foreign demand. This increase in production gradually increases the domestic employment level and then domestic demand. The process is simple and backed by top economists of our time. Loosen monetary policy, let your currency depreciate boost your export and plough back out of recession.

At this point I would like to stress upon the objective of creating demand. The ultimate objective of any recovery plan has to be the creation of demand (and not trade, inflation, employment, production, et al)which can then take care of production as well as employment. The importance of creating demand as the centre piece has to be understood and should be incorporated in policy decisions.



Continued in part 2.

Monday, September 21, 2009

Of judgements and Indians

A: abbe tu kabhi blog pe kuch post karega ya saari zindagi sirf baate hi banata rahega
me: abbe likhoonga yaar.....

This is a small part of one of the countless conversations which i had with the creator of this blog. I started wondering.....what is it that keeps me from writing......am i scared of people's reactions or as Saty says for conversations, i just don't have anything constructive to add......may be that's true......However, more than anything I am scared of being judged.....sure, i am judged all the time by my actions....but writing is just another action....and that will be judged....

I can recount a similar incident when "junglee" who is revered and considered very wise by one and all(God only knows why)......posted on this blog.....and everybody, me included commented on his post (personally, not in writing ) when we ourselves cant write to save our lives.....
There are two reasons for this....one, we expect a lot from junglee and two, we have this urge to judge others (by default)

Reason one may be understandable....however, i would focus on reason two....I believe that we have developed this over the years, a quality (if u can call that) of criticising, commenting, judging others......and it can be a variety of things.....think about it...food, politics, clothes,cricket, sport (they are diff for Indians), language, blog posts, drinks,cocktails, anything and everything......we either like it or want something to be better or someone to be better.....We seem to have opinions about everything......immaterial of whether we are good at it....(Exhibit A : Cricket)

Now, I wonder if this is the quality Indians possess or is it a quality that mankind has....lets assume that its just us indians who are in this world to have an opinion about anything and everything in this world......(might be true).......If that is so....its great although it can get very irritating.....is it because of our "great Indian democracy" where the PM also doesnt have great power and is bound by expectations to perform in a certain manner?

P.S: Parting gift for Ashwini who leaves Paris in 2 days....and starts a new chapter in his life in Madrid......All the best!!!

Friday, September 18, 2009

Remember Swades...

I am listening to 'Swades' track "Yeh vo bandan hai jo kabhi toot nahisakta". The scenes from the movie go auto playing in my mind. Powerful the song must be for the emotions it evokes. I remember, while I was working in a call centre, I was talking to the only girl in our batch. We were talking about the movie. She said the movie touched her. I had said that it touched me too, though the actress of the movie (Gayatri) had a more profound effect on me, she simply stole my heart. She smiled. I then happened to ask her what exactly in the movie touched her the most. She vividly described a scene when Mohan bhargava (apna SRK - playing 'An Indian NASA scientist') is travelling from one Indian village to another in a train and how a young boy is running on the platform of railway station to sell water in a kullad for 25p. I distinctly remember Mohan was visibly perturbed by the fact that this could well be the means of livelihood of some brethren of his own race. I mean here livelihood of a person who is as human as he is and therefore pointing to the stark contrast in levels of existence.

Then, probably inspired by 'Mind of Strategist by Kenichi Omahe' which I happened to be reading at the same time I was listening to the song, I starting analysing and realised that perhaps is no investment in this business activity but it requires great deal of labour. It would have involved gathering mud, make it amenable to being casted intokullad, then giving shape to kullad on a rotating wheel and finally filling water and making the sales effort. Now, taking into consideration the settings shown in the movie (which were quite life like), a rough estimate of the money he would be able to make would be at max 4 rupees. These 4 rupees should be able to buy a village person enough wheat to just manage survival of a family for a day. In a non agriculture season sustaining livelihood by this means may well be an ingenious idea. Though, I am not too sure of that. To think of that more realistically that was the way one family was surviving at least in the movie.

This brings to light the evolution of man kind from a prehistoric to a modern man. Needless to say, both survived fine. What is different is the survival needs, what is a need for one is beyond luxuries for the other. A modern man (put yourself in his place) can't think of living without soap and a shampoo. A normal human if we go back some centuries didn't even knew about these things. To quote a specific instance of what I am talking about, I recount a incident that stuck me while I was working with Infosys (a software giant) in puneIndia. We (4 people sharing an apartment) were invited to a societydusshera function after which we were served dinner. However, there were no spoons. People were accustomed to eating with hand. Even my other flatmates managed somehow, but I born an brought up in a spoon using family (pun intended) could not eat and therefore I had to waste chawal. This might sound funny which it is but something similar can happen to anybody and therefore, the incident demands observation and contemplation.

This incident made me believe that we have complicated ourselves where where we could have been living very simply. If we consider a normal human being life cycle, a person is born, he studies, he works, he grows old and eventually he dies. On an organism level it is immaterial whether there was a technological advancement on the planet or not, it is also immaterial if the organism was able to understand the cosmos and the diseases plaguing it. Sometimes, I also began to think of the futility of what we are all striving for in this world of cut throat competition. To put it bluntly, one is simply going to die and it would be immaterial what one made of oneself after he/she ceases to exist. And it doesn't require a particular spiritual bent of mind to figure this out. That is also the reason I sometimes feel 'I am flowing with the river' like most others. Mind has so been constricted by the society that it only can think between and not beyond. I wish and hope sincerely that there is a more reasonable explanation.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Worth of a Human Life!


Hey Hi!! I am Abhijeet, Ek kahani sunana chahta hun aapko, chhoooooti si ‘pakka’! Zyada time nahin lunga aapka I promise.
 I am from Gurgaon and I work with reliance as relationship manager for ‘Reliance Fresh’ in delhi. I like to make new friends and u knw wat??? My friends say that they admire me for being such a helping friend, I love to help my friends in any way I can, Kya hai na the satisfaction u get from this is incredible. Dil khush ho jata hai sach . Ghar ka khana acha lagta hai. Weekend pe family ke saath ghumne jaate hain. My mom stays with my elder brother in old delhi, we have a 25 year old house there. Kabhi ghar bhi chala jaata hun aur fir Chess ki game na ho to maza kaisa.
Life has not been a piece of cake for me,I have struggled through out my life, I struggled when I wanted to study, I struggled when I wanted materialistic things when I was young, I struggled when I was searching for a job, I lost my dad when I was 14 …….Life has been a series of sorrows for me, Maine sab dekha hai!
But with my confidence and dedication I overcame all the difficulties in my path, aur pata hai, Niki gave me the best gift of my life in the form of a beautiful daughter (giggles). “Niki aur mannat ke saath kab time nikal jata hai kuch pata hi nahin chalta”. I have been happily married to Niki for past 3 years bas ab to aisa lagta hai ki saari problems khatam ho gayi hain .I think now is the time to fulfil all the unfulfilled dreams.
5 saal ho gaye hain meri splendour  ko I am plannin to purchase a brand new Maruti Ritz next month, aur kya ab to promotion bhi ho gayi hai and then even Mannat is too sensitive to dust and dirt. Responsibility aa gayi hai na ab to, Doctor banaunga beti ko. I will make sure my baby gets all the comfort in the world that even I could not enjoy! Ghar bi banana hai, Mom ki angioplasty bhi due ho gai hai, Niki bhi apna ek boutique kholna chahti hai….. proud hota hai Niki pe. She is so intelligent and understanding.
Arey baaton baton main to bhul hi gaya!
It rained like nething day before yesterday and as expected it was amazing weather yesterday. Everything felt so good and fresh while I was riding my bike to my office in the morning.
 Niki wanted me to stay home for some more time in the morning (smiling), but office is office and then besides I am the manager, so no compromise. But neways I kissed mannat goodbye and left for the office.
There was this freshness in the air, so pure I could almost feel like I was flying. I took the road near sector-56 which connects to the delhi-gurgaon border, newly built road saves me a lot of time. I was smiling thinking of Mannat and waiting for the red light to turn ‘green’. Finally after a long wait it turned green.
Traffic started to move and which I earlier thought to be just water clogged due to rain was actually and big pot hole around 1 feet deep right there in the middle of the road and the front tire of my bike almost emersed completely in the hole got stuck. (tears building up in the eyes finding right words)
8 seconds left for the traffic light to turn red I was still struggling to come out of the hole (tears start to flow down) I mite have already got a heart attack as I saw a SUV just around 2 meters behind speeding towards me. I died on the spot.
This young guy driving the SUV was getting late for college and as he saw few seconds left for the traffic light to turn red, tried to overtake the mini truck and hit a calf walking on the road. He did try to brake when he saw me stuck but water clogged on the road did the damage.
Mannat ko doctor banana chahta tha, ek nayi car, ek naya ghar, mom ka operation, Niki………whu will take care of them …………Meri kya Galti thi (crying)????
Shall I blame the rain? Shall I blame the authority for the water on the road or potholes? Or shall I blame the calf or SUV driver????
Wat is the worth of my life? Ur life??? Are these broken roads and terrible water sewage worth more than our life? Wat did me and my family do to deserve this (silent)?
Acha chalta hun, Mannat aaj 3 saal ki ho gayi hai! Yaad karti hogi mujhe!
DRIVE SAFE, Its not always our fault………..Some time we don’t even get a chance to make a mistake! Everyone is a father, a son, daughter, mother, wife, husband!
Value their life as U value yours!
Be patient on road!

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Real Things..

Beta I feel very alone since your father has been transferred to Pune. I am going to your nanny’s village for some time. And this time don’t cancel it, come straight to the village. It’s been long beta, you are coming just second time in 9 years since you went to the UK. And yes ask Swati once more, maybe she can manage to get some days off from her office” Tanuj’s mom is trying to persuade his son to visit her. She does that very often but this time she is a little bit hopeful.
“.......thanda nimbu paani 2 rupaiya glass thanda nimbu paani 2 rupaiya glass.....paav bhar jalebi 10 rupiya mai, paav bhar jalebi 10 rupiya mai...., babuji ye kharbooj dekho shahad se mitthe saste lagaye hain.... “
Surrounded by the clamour on Nooh bus stand Tanuj is waiting for another bus to his final destination Kaanjigarh, a small village in Rajasthan. He is looking at the things and the people trying to sell them by bursting their vocal chords. He is looking at the things. He notices that it is not only the lemon that has made water look dirty and that the flies sitting on the jalebees may sit on the faeces too lying in the nearby vast open field. A guilt feel spreads on his face and he feels like spitting when he remembers that he used to crave for all these things when he used to visit his nanny in his childhood summer vacations. He looked at the one rupee water pouches and 8 rupee water bottle but the lousy packing confirmed that they have been filled from the esoteric water tap. Suddenly a huge crowd starts running towards the loud rattle sound. He too could board the bus but cursed himself for not booking some luxury line. He didnt even think that no luxury bus goes to Kaanjigarh. His feeling good factor about India’s progress which arose due to good new airlines and fast trains till Jaipur; was fading fast on this last part of the journey.
Finally he reaches the nanny’s house but something is missing. He missed the deep hearted welcome by her nanny with her weak trembling hand unsettling his hair for more than 5 minutes. She would never forget to kiss him on forehead after that. His nanny passed away 3 years back. He liked his mama and mamy too. They also loved him a lot. His mom broke down the moment she saw him. She loved him even longer than his nanny this time. He pays respect to his mama and mamy by touching their feet and hugged their son Monu.
He spent most of his time with Monu roaming the village streets, bazaar and nearby school grounds and visiting his old friends. In the past seven days he had seen the whole village twice for the village is small with around 1500 people, 2 small schools, one bank, one market, one bus station and a small clinic. He is seeing people doing very basic and mundane activities. They are cooking and eating food, washing clothes, cleaning their houses, buying and selling again food and clothes and little complex things like medicine and farming tools. And he is seeing them again and again with the same relaxed faces without any wrinkles on their foreheads. They are not walking fast; they stop at almost each person passing by like ants do and they are not carrying any sandwiches in their hands while they are heading their work.
Tanuj had already spent 7 days. Suddenly he thinks would it be possible for him too to devote so much of his time, had his friends visited him in the UK. He replied to himself that he is much busier than these guys; they don’t go to office and just help their fathers at their local grocery or medicine or clothes shops. But is it good to be busy in life?